Brief Preview
First Government
A. Prime Minister:
1. Intro: Robots. To inform, awaken, and prove that robots deserve our fear
a) Teammate
(1) Robots threaten Jobs
(2) Consume immense amounts of money
b) My points
(1) Increase of Robotic Intelligence
(2) Robots in the Military
2. Definition of Phobia:
a) A strong fear, dislike, or aversion of a specific thing
b) Just like Acrophobia - Heights, Selachophobia - Sharks, Belonephobia – Pins and Needles, and Anuptaphobia – Staying Single
c) Automotonaphobia – Robots is a real fear and they should be feared.
3. Increase of Robotic Intelligence
a) Ray Kurzweil – The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence
(1) Computers will have the same computing speed and capacity as the human brain.
(2) Ray – Computers will collectively exceed human intelligence
(3) In a few decades, computers will be able to gather information on their own.
4. This is similar to the Singularity Principle
a) It states that once robots get to greater-than-human-intelligence, they will be creating more advanced and more powerful technologies- continually building upon what they already have.
(1) …and let me assure you, what they already have is reason enough to be apprehensive and intimidated and afraid of robots
(2) I’m not saying we need to fear things like Ferbies or Roombas, although Ferbies do make me nervous. The robots will create more advanced and more powerful military robots, which is what I’d like to discuss next.
5. Robots are being used more and more in today’s militaries.
a) 118 Drone-bombs
(1) Governments around the world are rushing to create military robots capable of killing autonomously without considering legal and moral implications
b) Noel Sharkey of Sheffield University, UK
(1) Some robots that are well on their way to autonomously killing are the X-47B Fighter Jet and the Super Aegis II.
c) Ronald Arkin: a robotics researcher at Georgia Tech University thinks that Robotic weaponry could be good for two reasons.
(1) Human combatants are far from perfect- Saved lives of the innocent
(2) The second reason Arkin gave for robotic weapons being good was in a story he told.
6. Conclusion: The day that robots can advance weaponry like the X-47B and the Super Aegis and also refuse orders of humans, that is the day that we will be doomed.
7. Works Cited
a) Kapur, Sahil. "US Fires 118 Drone Bombs at Pakistan, Killing Just Two Most-wanted Terrorists | The Raw Story." The Raw Story | America's #1 Completely Independent News and Politics Source. Web. 07 Dec. 2011. <http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/02/21/us-fires-118-drone-bombs-at-pakistan-killing-just-two-most-wanted-terrorists/>.
b) "'Robot Arms Race' Underway, Expert Warns - Tech - 27 February 2008 - New Scientist." Science News and Science Jobs from New Scientist - New Scientist. Web. 08 Dec. 2011. <http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn13382-robot-arms-race-underway-expert-warns.html>.
c) "The ‘Singularity’ Draws Closer: What Happens When Computers Are Smarter than Humans? | SmartPlanet." SmartPlanet - Innovative Ideas That Impact Your World. Web. 08 Dec. 2011. <http://www.smartplanet.com/blog/business-brains/the-8216singularity-draws-closer-what-happens-when-computers-are-smarter-than-humans/3309>.
d) "Singularity University: Preparing for the Future » FutureGuru." Web. 07 Dec. 2011. <http://www.globalfuturist.com/blog/2009/02/11/singularity-university-preparing-for-the-future/>.
e) "South Korea’s Robot Machine Gun Turret Can See You Coming 3 Km Away | Singularity Hub." Singularity Hub | The Future Is Here Today…Robotics, Genetics, AI, Longevity, The Brain…. Web. 07 Dec. 2011. <http://singularityhub.com/2010/12/16/south-koreas-robot-machine-gun-turret-can-see-you-coming-3-km-away/>.
f) "Vernor Vinge on the Singularity." MINDSTALK -- Damien R. Sullivan. Web. 07 Dec. 2011. <http://mindstalk.net/vinge/vinge-sing.html>.
g) "Walking Robot Technology Advances Frankenstein Complex One More Rough Step." Inventions, Innovations and Interesting Ideas for the Inventor in All of Us. | InventorSpot. Web. 08 Dec. 2011. <http://inventorspot.com/articles/walking_robot_technology_advances_frankenstein_complex_one_more__42713>.
B. Deputy Prime Minister:
a. Military bought 6 000 robots average price of each is 150 000 to 200 000$ [economy]
b. The most expensive robot in the world costs 250 000$
II. Robots/Machines will take our jobs from us
a. People go to military to have scholarships
b. Plants and Fabrics are full of robots and different mechanisms that can be controlled by a few people.
III. California lost 12,900 jobs in the retail industry in November, but consumers spent 6% more than they did a year ago.(Los-Angeles Times )
a. In the stores like QFC one half is people cashiers and the other part is self- service
IV. Conclusion
a. As you see, we should fear robots, because we want to be sure that our tomorrow and tomorrow of our families will be saved.
a. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/08/080804190711.htm
b. http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/science/jan-june09/robots_04-23.html
c. http://www.armyofrobots.com/current-use-military.html+++
d. http://www.informationliberation.com/?id=6451
e. http://marshallbrain.com/robots-in-2015.htm
f. http://www.gizmag.com/foxconn-gears-up-to-build-industrial-robots/20389/
g. http://thenextweb.com/shareables/2010/12/30/interview-the-state-of-ethical-robotics-and-why-we-really-fear-bad-robots/
h. http://www.armyofrobots.com/effects-and-impact-of-military.html
i. http://www.armyofrobots.com/effects-and-impact-of-military.html
II. Second Government
A. Member of the Government:
1. Attention Getter: Robots – they will probably become smarter than us and they view us as a threat! This does not sound like a good situation for human beings.
a) Especially considering that According to a MIT economist, “There is a 50% chance that by 2050 robots will have the same intelligence as humans” Then their intelligence won’t stop there.
2. Reaffirm philosophy: You should fear robots and other types of artificial intelligence as the first government mention.
a) Because they are increasing in intelligence and popularity
b) Always finding a new job for them to do.
c) Because robots could be used as military killing machines.
(1) Another example of this can be found in the film Stealth.
(a) Artificial intelligence fighter plane gets a mind of it’s own and a mission goes horribly wrong. There is currently a British fighter plane, which can think for it’s self. There could be the same results.
d) Because of the cost.
e) Because they are taking away jobs.
(1) In fact, “The middle class is disappearing in large part because technology is rendering middle-class skills obsolete.” – MIT economist
3. Preview Speech: I will tell you what is wrong with their arguments
4. Present two new points. WE should fear robots because…
a) They might become self-aware.
b) They might then view us as a threat
5. A Rebuttal and those pesky objections
a) Rebuttal arguments
b) Including restating partners arguments and support them.
6. Answer Objections
a) If my partners and I cite movies as examples, it is not because it actually happened but because there is a potential of this happening.
b) Identification. Robots might become self –aware. They might ask questions like “Who Am I” or the might use this self-awareness to over ride what their human given purpose was.
c) The fact that we have a moral compass will not be ok them. The robots do not understand that we are sometimes act on emotion and be irrational
d) Robots might think that humans are their own biggest threat. Then the robot might do something about it.
(1) Perfect example: Eagle Eye
7. Works Citied
a) Boyle, Rebecca. "Robots Are Stealing American Jobs, According to MIT Economist | Popular Science." Popular Science | New Technology, Science News, The Future Now. Bonnier Corporation, 15 Oct. 2010. Web. 11 Dec. 2011. http://www.popsci.com/technology/article/2010-10/robots-are-stealing-american-jobs-economists-say.
b) Colgrass, Neal. "Experts Fear Robots Will Outsmart Humans." Newser | Headline News Summaries, World News, and Breaking News. Women's Forum/ Glam Family, 25 July 2009. Web. 12 Dec. 2011. http://www.newser.com/story/65305/experts-fear-robots-will-outsmart-humans.html.
c) Marcot, Molly. "FEAR THE ROBOT - News." The Diamondback - University of Maryland. Access Network, 30 Sept. 2011. Web. 12 Dec. 2011. <http://www.diamondbackonline.com/news/fear-the-robot-1.2622393>.
d) Myers, Courtney B. "Ethical Robotics and Why We Really Fear Bad Robots - The Next Web." The Next Web - International Technology News, Business & Culture. Dyn, 30 Dec. 2010. Web. 11 Dec. 2011. http://thenextweb.com/shareables/2010/12/30/interview-the-state-of-ethical-robotics-and-why-we-really-fear-bad-robots/.
e) Oak, Manali. "Pros and Cons of Artificial Intelligence." Buzzle Web Portal: Intelligent Life on the Web. 9 Sept. 2011. Web. 11 Dec. 2011. http://www.buzzle.com/articles/pros-and-cons-of-artificial-intelligence.html.
f) Ozimek, Adam. "Should We Fear the Robot Future?" Web log post. WordPress.com. 24 May 2011. Web. 11 Dec. 2011. http://modeledbehavior.com/2011/05/24/should-we-fear-the-robot-future/.
B. Government Whip
1. Attention Getter
a) Would you like to wear a collar around your neck and be told when to eat, when to speak, and eliminate waste in public?
(1) I argue that this could very well be a future for us and a very fearful future indeed
(2) First let me address some housekeeping, then re-emphasize our argument to clarify this potentiality
2. Rebuttal, Clarification and Points of Contention
3. Re-emphasis on previous points
a) Warrior Bots
(1) BAE Taranis
(a) Unmanned combat aircraft system (UCAS)
(b) Difference from ucav’s (unmanned combat air vehicle)
(2) Western nations are not unique in this
(a) When other nations with less democratic iseals successfully implement their programs, the game changes drastically.
b) Superintellignece, Self-Awareness and the problem of reliance
(1) Superintelligence (any intellect that is vastly outperforms the best human brains in practically every field)
(a) General vs Domain-Specific
(2) The problem of reliance
(a) When Robots do all the work
(b) We lose jobs – source of income
(c) We become less relevant
c) The culmination of these problems
(1) Weakened economy
(a) Cost of technological innovation
(b) Cost of fewer jobs on GDP
(2) Proliferation of military robots
(a) Robots designed for warfare have no function but to kill
(b) As they become increasingly more intelligent they will continue to look for targets, even if none exist
(3) Rise of superintelligence and efficiency
(a) Problems with programming and short-sighted algorithms
4. Conclusion
a) Therefore, we should fear the robots for three reasons
(1) Negative impact on our economy
(2) Domain Specificity and Warrior-bots
(3) Efficiency and superintelligence might render us pets
Let’s work on this page together…
First Government
A. Prime Minister:
1. Intro: Robots. To inform, awaken, and prove that robots deserve our fear
a) Teammate
(1) Robots threaten Jobs
(2) Consume immense amounts of money
b) My points
(1) Increase of Robotic Intelligence
(2) Robots in the Military
2. Definition of Phobia:
a) A strong fear, dislike, or aversion of a specific thing
b) Just like Acrophobia - Heights, Selachophobia - Sharks, Belonephobia – Pins and Needles, and Anuptaphobia – Staying Single
c) Automotonaphobia – Robots is a real fear and they should be feared.
3. Increase of Robotic Intelligence
a) Ray Kurzweil – The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence
(1) Computers will have the same computing speed and capacity as the human brain.
(2) Ray – Computers will collectively exceed human intelligence
(3) In a few decades, computers will be able to gather information on their own.
4. This is similar to the Singularity Principle
a) It states that once robots get to greater-than-human-intelligence, they will be creating more advanced and more powerful technologies- continually building upon what they already have.
(1) …and let me assure you, what they already have is reason enough to be apprehensive and intimidated and afraid of robots
(2) I’m not saying we need to fear things like Ferbies or Roombas, although Ferbies do make me nervous. The robots will create more advanced and more powerful military robots, which is what I’d like to discuss next.
5. Robots are being used more and more in today’s militaries.
a) 118 Drone-bombs
(1) Governments around the world are rushing to create military robots capable of killing autonomously without considering legal and moral implications
b) Noel Sharkey of Sheffield University, UK
(1) Some robots that are well on their way to autonomously killing are the X-47B Fighter Jet and the Super Aegis II.
c) Ronald Arkin: a robotics researcher at Georgia Tech University thinks that Robotic weaponry could be good for two reasons.
(1) Human combatants are far from perfect- Saved lives of the innocent
(2) The second reason Arkin gave for robotic weapons being good was in a story he told.
6. Conclusion: The day that robots can advance weaponry like the X-47B and the Super Aegis and also refuse orders of humans, that is the day that we will be doomed.
7. Works Cited
a) Kapur, Sahil. "US Fires 118 Drone Bombs at Pakistan, Killing Just Two Most-wanted Terrorists | The Raw Story." The Raw Story | America's #1 Completely Independent News and Politics Source. Web. 07 Dec. 2011. <http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/02/21/us-fires-118-drone-bombs-at-pakistan-killing-just-two-most-wanted-terrorists/>.
b) "'Robot Arms Race' Underway, Expert Warns - Tech - 27 February 2008 - New Scientist." Science News and Science Jobs from New Scientist - New Scientist. Web. 08 Dec. 2011. <http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn13382-robot-arms-race-underway-expert-warns.html>.
c) "The ‘Singularity’ Draws Closer: What Happens When Computers Are Smarter than Humans? | SmartPlanet." SmartPlanet - Innovative Ideas That Impact Your World. Web. 08 Dec. 2011. <http://www.smartplanet.com/blog/business-brains/the-8216singularity-draws-closer-what-happens-when-computers-are-smarter-than-humans/3309>.
d) "Singularity University: Preparing for the Future » FutureGuru." Web. 07 Dec. 2011. <http://www.globalfuturist.com/blog/2009/02/11/singularity-university-preparing-for-the-future/>.
e) "South Korea’s Robot Machine Gun Turret Can See You Coming 3 Km Away | Singularity Hub." Singularity Hub | The Future Is Here Today…Robotics, Genetics, AI, Longevity, The Brain…. Web. 07 Dec. 2011. <http://singularityhub.com/2010/12/16/south-koreas-robot-machine-gun-turret-can-see-you-coming-3-km-away/>.
f) "Vernor Vinge on the Singularity." MINDSTALK -- Damien R. Sullivan. Web. 07 Dec. 2011. <http://mindstalk.net/vinge/vinge-sing.html>.
g) "Walking Robot Technology Advances Frankenstein Complex One More Rough Step." Inventions, Innovations and Interesting Ideas for the Inventor in All of Us. | InventorSpot. Web. 08 Dec. 2011. <http://inventorspot.com/articles/walking_robot_technology_advances_frankenstein_complex_one_more__42713>.
B. Deputy Prime Minister:
I. Robots are expensive
a. Military bought 6 000 robots average price of each is 150 000 to 200 000$ [economy]
b. The most expensive robot in the world costs 250 000$
II. Robots/Machines will take our jobs from us
a. People go to military to have scholarships
b. Plants and Fabrics are full of robots and different mechanisms that can be controlled by a few people.
III. California lost 12,900 jobs in the retail industry in November, but consumers spent 6% more than they did a year ago.(Los-Angeles Times )
a. In the stores like QFC one half is people cashiers and the other part is self- service
IV. Conclusion
a. As you see, we should fear robots, because we want to be sure that our tomorrow and tomorrow of our families will be saved.
a. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/08/080804190711.htm
b. http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/science/jan-june09/robots_04-23.html
c. http://www.armyofrobots.com/current-use-military.html+++
d. http://www.informationliberation.com/?id=6451
e. http://marshallbrain.com/robots-in-2015.htm
f. http://www.gizmag.com/foxconn-gears-up-to-build-industrial-robots/20389/
g. http://thenextweb.com/shareables/2010/12/30/interview-the-state-of-ethical-robotics-and-why-we-really-fear-bad-robots/
h. http://www.armyofrobots.com/effects-and-impact-of-military.html
i. http://www.armyofrobots.com/effects-and-impact-of-military.html
II. Second Government
A. Member of the Government:
1. Attention Getter: Robots – they will probably become smarter than us and they view us as a threat! This does not sound like a good situation for human beings.
a) Especially considering that According to a MIT economist, “There is a 50% chance that by 2050 robots will have the same intelligence as humans” Then their intelligence won’t stop there.
2. Reaffirm philosophy: You should fear robots and other types of artificial intelligence as the first government mention.
a) Because they are increasing in intelligence and popularity
b) Always finding a new job for them to do.
c) Because robots could be used as military killing machines.
(1) Another example of this can be found in the film Stealth.
(a) Artificial intelligence fighter plane gets a mind of it’s own and a mission goes horribly wrong. There is currently a British fighter plane, which can think for it’s self. There could be the same results.
d) Because of the cost.
e) Because they are taking away jobs.
(1) In fact, “The middle class is disappearing in large part because technology is rendering middle-class skills obsolete.” – MIT economist
3. Preview Speech: I will tell you what is wrong with their arguments
4. Present two new points. WE should fear robots because…
a) They might become self-aware.
b) They might then view us as a threat
5. A Rebuttal and those pesky objections
a) Rebuttal arguments
b) Including restating partners arguments and support them.
6. Answer Objections
a) If my partners and I cite movies as examples, it is not because it actually happened but because there is a potential of this happening.
b) Identification. Robots might become self –aware. They might ask questions like “Who Am I” or the might use this self-awareness to over ride what their human given purpose was.
c) The fact that we have a moral compass will not be ok them. The robots do not understand that we are sometimes act on emotion and be irrational
d) Robots might think that humans are their own biggest threat. Then the robot might do something about it.
(1) Perfect example: Eagle Eye
7. Works Citied
a) Boyle, Rebecca. "Robots Are Stealing American Jobs, According to MIT Economist | Popular Science." Popular Science | New Technology, Science News, The Future Now. Bonnier Corporation, 15 Oct. 2010. Web. 11 Dec. 2011. http://www.popsci.com/technology/article/2010-10/robots-are-stealing-american-jobs-economists-say.
b) Colgrass, Neal. "Experts Fear Robots Will Outsmart Humans." Newser | Headline News Summaries, World News, and Breaking News. Women's Forum/ Glam Family, 25 July 2009. Web. 12 Dec. 2011. http://www.newser.com/story/65305/experts-fear-robots-will-outsmart-humans.html.
c) Marcot, Molly. "FEAR THE ROBOT - News." The Diamondback - University of Maryland. Access Network, 30 Sept. 2011. Web. 12 Dec. 2011. <http://www.diamondbackonline.com/news/fear-the-robot-1.2622393>.
d) Myers, Courtney B. "Ethical Robotics and Why We Really Fear Bad Robots - The Next Web." The Next Web - International Technology News, Business & Culture. Dyn, 30 Dec. 2010. Web. 11 Dec. 2011. http://thenextweb.com/shareables/2010/12/30/interview-the-state-of-ethical-robotics-and-why-we-really-fear-bad-robots/.
e) Oak, Manali. "Pros and Cons of Artificial Intelligence." Buzzle Web Portal: Intelligent Life on the Web. 9 Sept. 2011. Web. 11 Dec. 2011. http://www.buzzle.com/articles/pros-and-cons-of-artificial-intelligence.html.
f) Ozimek, Adam. "Should We Fear the Robot Future?" Web log post. WordPress.com. 24 May 2011. Web. 11 Dec. 2011. http://modeledbehavior.com/2011/05/24/should-we-fear-the-robot-future/.
B. Government Whip
1. Attention Getter
a) Would you like to wear a collar around your neck and be told when to eat, when to speak, and eliminate waste in public?
(1) I argue that this could very well be a future for us and a very fearful future indeed
(2) First let me address some housekeeping, then re-emphasize our argument to clarify this potentiality
2. Rebuttal, Clarification and Points of Contention
3. Re-emphasis on previous points
a) Warrior Bots
(1) BAE Taranis
(a) Unmanned combat aircraft system (UCAS)
(b) Difference from ucav’s (unmanned combat air vehicle)
(i) Similar to many UCAV’s like X-47B in style
(a) Difference in function
(i) autonomous flight and target acquisition
(2) Western nations are not unique in this
(a) When other nations with less democratic iseals successfully implement their programs, the game changes drastically.
b) Superintellignece, Self-Awareness and the problem of reliance
(1) Superintelligence (any intellect that is vastly outperforms the best human brains in practically every field)
(a) General vs Domain-Specific
(i) Deep Blue is a Chess machine (Domain)
(ii) Superintelligence will lead to more advanced superintelligence.
(a) This results both from the improved hardware that a superintelligence could create, and also from improvements it could make to its own source code.
(2) The problem of reliance
(a) When Robots do all the work
(b) We lose jobs – source of income
(i) Less workers needed to fulfill supervisory roles
(a) How can we all live in a society for free without working?
(i) Socialism failed for a reason
(c) We become less relevant
(i) Could we not become pets to robots that deem our roles as unnecessary? Steve Wozniac, co-founder of Apple claims we will…
(a) If so, why would they want to ensure our freedom?
(i) The agendas they create would become primary
c) The culmination of these problems
(1) Weakened economy
(a) Cost of technological innovation
(b) Cost of fewer jobs on GDP
(2) Proliferation of military robots
(a) Robots designed for warfare have no function but to kill
(b) As they become increasingly more intelligent they will continue to look for targets, even if none exist
(3) Rise of superintelligence and efficiency
(a) Problems with programming and short-sighted algorithms
(i) Do jobs efficiently and eliminate waste
(a) As humans become less useful, we become more wasteful
(i) When are we considered worthy of elimination?
4. Conclusion
a) Therefore, we should fear the robots for three reasons
(1) Negative impact on our economy
(2) Domain Specificity and Warrior-bots
(3) Efficiency and superintelligence might render us pets
http://www.viewzone.com/robotworkers.htmlhttp://www.innovationpolicy.org/technology-and-automation-create-not-destroy
Let’s work on this page together…
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Cheers!